FxGrow Fundamental Analysis – 19th April, 2017
By FxGrow Investment Research Desk
Sterling Hikes Over Optimism Driven By Snap Early Elections, Awaiting Parliament Approval
UK PM Theresa May stole the thunder yesterday despite current political tension hovering over the globe first by a sudden scheduling for media press, second by surprising call for UK's early elections by 8th of June, although the lady had previously disapproved such move. As a result, Sterling was on a chaotic ride with an incline destination, surging +390-pips as daily market action and GBP/USD clocked 1.2905 4th-Oct-2017 fresh highs with a reminder of Brexit's volatility before and after the referendum. U.S Dollar yesterday soared and has seen pale as the U.S Index plunged -$0.94 with April-fresh-lows at 99.34 facing sharp British Pound. Currently the pair trades 1.2826 intraday and has over passed 200 SMA at 1.2623.
PM May's move called for UK citizens for once and all, open a new page, let the people decide, and put Brexit behind. The house of Commons will vote today for May's proposal with signs of approval which should boost GBP/USD higher. On the other hand, any rejection could result of a collapsing Sterling and digesting yesterday's gains.
1- GBP - UK House of Commons decision on PM May early election today.
2- USD - Unemployment Claims tomorrow at 12:30 PM GMT.
3- GBP - BOE's Gov. Carney speech tomorrow at 3:30 PM and 4:30 PM GMT.
Resistance levels: R1 1.2938, R2 1.3022, R3 1.3154
Support levels: S1 1.2767, S2 1.2683, S3 1.2595
Summary: The explosive rally signals a significant upside breakout from a coiling congestion pattern on a weekly chart, creating a target at R3. The strong close yesterday alerts for a dilation for bullish forces. Be careful from resistance at R2 +/-. Any congestion over 1.2721 will likely develop a bull flag or staging level for rallies. A close below S3 is needed for trend reversal. Be aware of setbacks as a test on S&R level due to high volatility for the cable. PM early election proposal is the main gear for GBP/USD movement.
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