Page 53 of 53 FirstFirst ... 343515253
Results 521 to 524 of 524

Thread: Daily Market Analysis by Hotforex.

  1. #521
    Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    559
    Thanks
    1
    Thanked 1 Time in 1 Post
    Forex Ability & Talent
    0
    Date : 11th May 2018.

    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 11th May 2018.




    FX News Today

    Asian Market Wrap: Asian stock mostly moved higher, after a good close in the U.S. which was underpinned by a tame inflation report that reduced pressure on the Fed to tighten again. The Nikkei is up 0.93%, the Topix gained 0.77% and the Hang Seng is up 1.31%. Mainland Chinese bourses underperformed and the CSI is down -0.20%, but overall a solid result in Asia and the MSCI Asia Pacific Index is heading for the best week since February, as U.S. yields and USD retreated. U.S. stock futures are also moving higher in tandem with U.K. futures. Treasury yields meanwhile have come up slightly from the post inflation lows and the 10-year is up 0.2 bp at 2.964%, while 10-year JGB’s are down -0.1 bp at 0.039%.

    FX Update: USDJPY is near net unchanged on the day so far. There has been some chop, with the pair posting an intraday high of 109.57 before taking a near 40-pip tumble to a 109.19 low at the Tokyo fixing (00:50 GMT). USD-JPY subsequently recouped to around 109.50, fractionally up on the day’s opening levels. There have been no data or developments of note out of Japan today. The uptrend that commenced from sub-105.0 levels looks to have lost thrust. The U.S. yield curve is now the flattest its been since 2007, with long dated yields coming off while short end yields remain elevated, pricing in Fed tightening over the next year. With a lot baked in with regard to expected Fed tightening, and with high oil prices looking to sustain and related geopolitical uncertainties rising in prominence — U.S. versus Iran relations in particular, but also Venezuela’s collapsing oil industry and trade tensions — there looks to be a growing chance for USD-JPY to correct lower, driven by a retreat in the dollar and/or safe haven demand for the yen.

    Charts of the Day



    Main Macro Events Today

    * CAD Jobs Numbers – Expectations – expected to slip to 17.4k from big beat last month at 32.3k. Unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 5.8%

    * US UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations – both expected to slip from 98.8 and 2.7% respectively

    * Draghi Speech – Little monetary policy implications at scheduled speech in Florence but you never can tell.

    Support & Resistance Levels



    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.


    Stuart Cowell
    Senior Market Analyst
    HotForex


    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.


  2. #522
    Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    559
    Thanks
    1
    Thanked 1 Time in 1 Post
    Forex Ability & Talent
    0
    Date : 14th May 2018.

    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 14th May 2018.




    Main Macro Events This Week

    Main Macro Events This Week
    Stocks have regained their footing in early May as the plethora of worries which knocked global equities lower to start the year have faded. Concerns over a more aggressive Fed tightening stance, fears over rising price pressures, worries over a slowing in growth and possible recession, uncertainty over a trade war, not to mention geopolitics and the angst over N. Korea, have all eased, though unilateral reimposition of Iran sanctions by the U.S. have contributed to fresh trend highs on WTI crude above $71 bbl. Yet investors have refocused on earnings, which have been stellar. Specifically, a less hawkish tone from the FOMC, softening in inflation data, and indications of strengthening in U.S. Q2 GDP growth to 3%, have added to the bullish tone on stocks, even as the dollar rally has paused to digest these developments and the cooler Fed outlook.

    United States: This week’s U.S. economic calendar will feature updates on retail sales, producer sentiment, housing starts, industrial production and business inventories. Overall the data should be positive, with retail activity estimated to extend the prior month’s gains, producer sentiment remaining strong, and housing starts still at a respectable pace. Industrial production growth should remain strong in Q2, following out-sized Q4 and Q1 gains. Inventories, should extend their rising trend in March as well, and may modestly subtract from GDP growth in Q2.

    Canada: In Canada CPI (Friday) highlights a busy calendar. Total CPI is expected to jump 0.5% in April (m/m, NSA) after the 0.3% gain in March, as gasoline prices surged. The CPI is seen accelerating to a 2.5% y/y pace in April from the 2.3% y/y clip in March. The BoC has expressed comfort with the pop in CPI, which has been above the 2.0% target mid-point since February, as the fall-off in temporary factors (previously restraining CPI) and minimum wage hikes provide what they see as a temporary boost. Manufacturing shipment values (Wednesday) are projected to gain 2.0% in March after the 1.9% gain in February. Retail sales (Friday) are seen growing 0.3% in March after the 0.4% rise in February. Bank of Canada Deputy Governor Schembri speaks (Wednesday) on “Reaching our Potential: Challenges and Opportunities. His speech is available on the BoC’s website at 12:00 ET.

    Europe: The ECB remains on course to phase out QE by the end of the year come what may, but this will only end the ongoing expansion of the central bank’s balance sheet; it still leaves officials with the task of scaling back support and returning policy back to normal. However, while rates are expected to be finally lifted next year, officials have turned cautious after a run of weak data. With that in mind the majority of this week’s data is too backward looking to really change the overall outlook. Against that background comments from ECB officials, including Draghi, Coeure, Praet (all Wednesday) and Constancio (Thursday) are all likely to sound cautiously optimistic on the growth outlook, while admitting ongoing uncertainties and risks.

    The main focus on the data front is German ZEW investor confidence for May. Meanwhile, the first reading of German Q1 GDP (Tuesday) is likely to show a marked deceleration in the quarterly growth rate to just 0.3% q/q , versus 0.6% q/q in Q4 last year. This would pretty much mirror developments in other major Eurozone economies and leave the overall Eurozone GDP number (also Tuesday), on course to be confirmed at 0.4% q/q , unchanged from the preliminary reading and also sharply lower than in Q4. Again, there is a lot of noise in the data and the main question not just for the ECB is now whether this is due to temporary factors, or the sign of a broader downtrend in growth. Inflation numbers meanwhile are backward looking and Italian April HICP expected (Tuesday), to be confirmed at 0.6% y/y, the German HICP rate (Wednesday) at 1.4% y/y and the overall Eurozone rate (Wednesday) at 1.2% y/y. Core inflation fell back to just 0.7% y/y in April, but that was impacted by base effects with services price inflation falling back earlier than last year from the Easter spike. The calendar also has Eurozone trade (Thursday) and current account (Friday), but that will be overshadowed by the second GDP reading.

    UK: Last week’s unchanged monetary policy decision from the BoE, the trimming of GDP and CPI forecasts, and the wary-but-still upbeat tone of MPC members, all met expectations, near enough. The calendar this week is quiet, highlighted by monthly BoE labour data (Tuesday). The unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at the multi-decade low of 4.2% . Average household income is expected to rise 2.6% y/y in the with-bonus figure and to a new cycle high rate of 2.9% y/y in the three months to March, which should keep BoE tightening expectations alive.

    Japan: Tuesday brings the March tertiary industry index, which is penciled in at -0.3% versus the prior unchanged outcome. Preliminary Q1 GDP (Wednesday) is forecast at up 0.1% from the previous 1.6% increase. Revised March industrial production is due Wednesday as well. March machine orders (Thursday) are expected down 2.0% from the 2.1% previous rise. National April CPI (Friday) is forecast at up 0.6% y/y from up 1.1% overall, and up 0.7% y/y from 0.9% on a core basis.

    China: April fixed investment (Tuesday) should be up 7.5% y/y as it was in March. April industrial production (Tuesday) is seen up 6.5% y.y from 6.0%, while April retail sales are penciled in at up 10.2% from 10.1%.

    Australia: The wage cost index (Wednesday) is expected to rise 0.6% in Q1 (q/q, sa) after the matching 0.6% gain in Q4. Employment (Thursday) is seen rising 10.0k in April after the 4.9k gain in March. The unemployment rate is projected at 5.5%, identical to March. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s minutes to the May meeting are due Tuesday. RBA Deputy Governor Debelle (Tuesday) will discuss “The Outlook for the Australian Economy” at the CFO Forum 2018 in Sydney. Deputy Governor Debelle (also Tuesday) speaks on “Interest Rate Benchmark Reform” at the ISDA forum, Hong Kong via video link.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.


    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex


    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.


  3. #523
    Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    559
    Thanks
    1
    Thanked 1 Time in 1 Post
    Forex Ability & Talent
    0
    Date : 18th May 2018.

    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 18th May 2018.




    FX News Today

    Asian Market Wrap: 10-year Treasury yields are unchanged on the day at 3.11%, 10-year JGBs marginally higher at 0.052% despite a dip in CPI inflation and long yields were mixed elsewhere across Asia. Stocks also struggled for direction. Topix and Nikkei managed gains of 0.31% each, the Hang Seng is up 0.19%, but the CSI 300 slightly down, Shanghai com and Shenzhen Comp narrowly mixed. Treasury yields near 2011 highs continue to weigh on investor sentiment, but U.S. stock futures are higher amid reports that China offered the US a USD 200 bln reduction in the bilateral trade gap. Oil prices are holding near the 2014 highs amid mounting signs of shrinking stock piles and the front end WTI future is at USD 71.61 per barrel.

    FX Update: The yen have traded softer into the London interbank open, which saw USDJPY touch 111.00 for the first time since January while concurrently lifting yen crosses. AUDJPY, for instance, clocked a one-month high. A dip in Japanese inflation data weighed on the yen. Headline April CPI fell to a rate of 0.6% y/y from 1.1% y/y in March, while core CPI ebbed to 0.7% y/y from 0.9% y/y. The outcomes undershot market expectations, and should maintain the BoJ’s ultra-accommodative monetary policy. EUR-USD, meanwhile, lifted back above 1.1800, though remain well off yesterday’s high at 1.1837. AUDUSD and Cable also gained, though similarly remained comfortably below the previous day’s peak. The surge in U.S. yields should keep the dollar a buy-on-dips trade.

    Charts of the Day



    Main Macro Events Today

    * EU Trade Balance – expected at 20.7 B surplus slightly below the previous reading at 21 B.

    * Canadian CPI – Expectations – CPI is expected to grow 0.4% (m/m, nsa) in April after the 0.3% gain in March. The CPI is projected to grow at a 2.3% y/y pace in April, matching the 2.3% rate of increase in March. The 2.3 y/y clip in March was the fastest rate since the 2.4% pace in October of 2014.

    * Canadian Retail Sales – Expectations – Retail sales are expected to rise 0.3% in March after the 0.4% gain in February. The ex-autos sales aggregate is projected to rise 0.5% in March after the flat reading in February. The CPI’s gasoline price index rose 2.9% in March after the 0.7% dip in February. Hence, gasoline station sales should provide a boost to total and ex-autos sales retail sales.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.


    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex


    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.


  4. #524
    Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    559
    Thanks
    1
    Thanked 1 Time in 1 Post
    Forex Ability & Talent
    0
    Date : 21st May 2018.

    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 21st May 2018.




    Main Macro Events This Week

    Global yields have been on the rise all year, with Treasuries leading the upswing in core markets. The 10-year T-note has climbed 65 bps year-to-date, to 3.05%, and tested 3.12% late in the week. Italy paced the action on the week, however, jumping 30 bps. Numerous factors have served to boost rates, including global growth, inflation expectations, tighter monetary policy, fiscal policy angst, and supply. And rising rates are roiling the markets. Interest rates will remain in the spotlight this week, with Treasury supply, inflation data, and geopolitics all possibly increasing yield further.

    United States: Recent strength in U.S. economic data has suggested the slowing in Q1 growth was temporary, and that’s added to the bearish turn in interest rates. Upcoming reports will be monitored for further evidence of the Q2 improvement. Housing data tops this week’s releases, including new (Wednesday) and existing home sales for April (Tuesday), and will provide some insight on how this sector is faring in Q2. Also, reports on April durable goods orders (Friday), May Markit PMIs, and the May KC Fed index will give a current view on manufacturing. The FOMC minutes to the May 1, 2 policy meeting (Wednesday) will help clarify the Fed’s stress on its “symmetric” stance on inflation, and the degree to which Committee members will tolerate above target inflation. Supply factors in prominently too with a record $99 bln in shorter dated coupons to be auctioned.

    Canada: In Canada, the markets are closed on Monday in observance of the Victoria Day holiday. The holiday shortened week is thin on data and events. March wholesale trade shipments (Tuesday) are expected to rise 0.5% in March after the 0.8% drop in February. This is the final input into the March GDP forecast. A 0.2% GDP gain in March (m/m, sa) is expected after the 0.4% surge in February, as the economy resumes making headway after the temporary set-back in January that saw GDP fall 0.1%. There is nothing from Bank of Canada this week.

    Europe: It may be a decisive week for the Eurozone and the outlook for the ECB. Various PMI reports, and Ifo readings for May will hopefully bring more clarity on the question whether the slowdown in overall growth in Q1 was mainly driven by temporary factors, or it is the start of a larger down-shift in growth momentum. Even if confidence data stabilizes, as expected, there are still plenty of risks emanating from geopolitics, along with protectionist tendencies, Brexit wrangling, and now of course Italy. There, the populists, who are preparing to take over the government, have agreed spending programs that will not only see Italian debt spiking higher, but will not address the country’s underlying problems it will also set it on collision course with the ECBs and Eurozone peers.

    An effective stabilization in Eurozone PMI readings for May (Wednesday) and an improvement in the manufacturing reading to 56.4 from 56.2, the services reading is seen falling back to 54.5 from 45.7, which should lead the composite at 55.1, versus 55.1 in April. The German Ifo Business Climate reading (Thursday) is also expected to stabilize and an unchanged headline reading is expected of 102.1 versus 102.1 in the previous month, with expectations seen falling back slightly, but the current conditions indicator expected to improve after the holiday related noise in previous months. French national business confidence (Thursday) and German GfK consumer confidence (Thursday) are also seen unchanged over the month, while Eurozone consumer confidence (Wednesday) is expected to improve to 0.5 from 0.4.The forward looking confidence readings will likely overshadow the second release of German Q1 GDP numbers (Thursday), which will bring the full breakdown.

    UK: A flurry of data releases looms on the calendar this week, highlighted by the April inflation report (Wednesday), April retail sales (Thursday), and the second estimate for Q1 GDP (Friday). Monthly government borrowing data (Tuesday) and the May CBI surveys for industrial trends and distributive sales (Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively) are also up. A headline CPI at 2.5% y/y is expected, which would match the prior month’s figure, which itself had undershot both the market and BoE expectation. As for retail sales, it is anticipated a 0.8% m/m rise in April, rebounding after a steep 1.2% decline in March, while Q1 GDP expected to come in unrevised from the preliminary release outcomes of 0.1% q/q and 1.2% y/y. On the Brexit front, negotiations and solution brainstorming continue at pace, and while lately causing some confusion, the overall position should become clearer as the year draws on

    Japan: The March all-industry index (Wednesday) is penciled in rising 0.2% on the month versus the previous 0.4% increase. May Tokyo CPI is forecast rising at a 0.6% y/y clip from 0.5% overall, and unchanged from April at up 0.6% y/y on a core basis.

    Australia: The Reserve Bank of Australia governor Lowe (Wednesday) speaks at the Australia-China Relations Institute in Sydney. The Bank’s Assistant Governor (Financial Sector) Bullock speaks (Thursday) at the De Nederlandsche Bank Housing Market Seminar in Amsterdam. The data calendar is sparse, with Q1 construction work done (Wednesday) featuring.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.


    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex


    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.


Page 53 of 53 FirstFirst ... 343515253

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 1003 users browsing this thread. (1 members and 1002 guests)

  1. AllForexnews

Tags for this Thread

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •